Economic Indicators

KNOWLEDGE EXPECTED OF: QAFP® Professionals

Highest Knowledge Level: Awareness


Knowledge Levels and Associated Verbs


Awareness
The state of being aware that something exists / to have familiarity with a particular activity or subject
Understanding
To comprehend the general relationship of particulars / to have an expertise with how something works
Application
Ability to put information to use / to use knowledge for relevant, practical purposes
Evaluation
To judge or conclude by utilizing data / a systematic determination of something’s worth or significance
Define
To state exactly the meaning of
Identify
To be aware of / to recognize and correctly name / to locate an appropriate resource
Explain
To make clear the meaning of / to describe something in more detail or reveal relevant facts or ideas related to it
Determine
To ascertain / to come to a decision, such as by investigation or reasoning
Compare
To note the similarities and differences between two or more things
Estimate
To determine an approximate value for
Calculate
To find the value using mathematics
Convert
To change from one form or purpose to another
Evaluate
To reach a conclusion or make a through careful study
Interpret
To give the meaning of / to construe or understand / to translate orally

Hold cursor over or click on each term to read its definition.

Leading Economic Indicators 

  • Define a leading economic indicator.  
  • Identify indicators that lead the economic cycle, such as:
    • Stock market
    • Housing starts
    • Commodity prices
    • Manufacturers’ new orders
    • The yield curve 
  • Identify how leading indicators may signal the next economic cycle.

The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator 

  • Define the yield curve.  
  • Identify the significance of the slope of the yield curve. 
    • Upward-sloping / normal
    • Downward-sloping / inverted
    • Horizontal / flat 
  • Identify how the slope of the yield curve may signal potential changes in the economic cycle.    

Coincident Economic Indicators  

  • Define a coincident economic indicator.  
  • Identify indicators that coincide with the economic cycle, such as: 
    • Gross Domestic Product
    • Personal income
    • Retail sales
    • Industrial production
    • Manufacturing and trade sales volume
    • Number of employees of non-agricultural payroll 
  • Identify how coincident indicators may confirm the current phase of the economic cycle.  

GDP as a Coincident Indicator  

  • Define Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  
  • Identify the components of GDP. 
    • Consumer spending
    • Investment spending
    • Government spending
    • Net exports 
  • Define the types of GDP.
    • Nominal
    • Real
    • GDP per Capita 
  • Identify the factors that may impact GDP growth, such as: 
    • Political change
    • International conflict
    • Technological advancements
    • Medical discoveries or disease
    • Environmental disasters
    • Terrorism
    • Geopolitical factors
    • Domestic government policy (sanctions, protectionism)
    • Foreign government policy
    • Foreign fiscal policy
    • Foreign monetary policy 
  • Define Gross National Product. 
    • Identify the potential effects that a change in Gross Domestic Product may have on inflation, interest rates, exchange rates and asset values.    

    Lagging Economic Indicators 

    • Define a lagging economic indicator.  
    • Identify indicators that lag the economic cycle, such as:
      • Unemployment rate
      • Duration of unemployment
      • Changes in the Consumer Price Index (Rate of Inflation) 
      • Average prime interest rate charged by banks
      • Level of inventory
      • Ratio of consumer credit to personal income
      • Level of private sector capital investment
      • Exchange rate 
    • Identify how lagging indicators may confirm that an economic cycle has passed.   

    The Consumer Price Index as a Lagging Indicator  

    • Define types of price changes, such as:
      • Inflation
      • Deflation
      • Disinflation 
      • Hyperinflation 
    • Identify measurements of inflation, such as:
      • Consumer Price Index
      • Core Consumer Price Index
      • General Level of Prices 
      • Identify the potential effects that inflation and deflation may have on macroeconomic variables (such as Gross Domestic Product, interest rates, exchange rates) and asset values.    

      Unemployment Rate as a Lagging Indicator   

      • Define the unemployment rate. 
      • Identify the potential effects that a change in Gross Domestic Product, inflation, interest rates and exchange rates may have on unemployment.

      Exchange Rate as a Lagging Indicator  

      • Define an exchange rate. 
        • Define a currency appreciation.  
        • Define a currency depreciation.  
        • Identify who benefits and who is disadvantaged from an exchange rate change.
          • Appreciation
          • Depreciation 
        • Identify the expected effects that a change in exchange rates may have on Gross Domestic Product, inflation, interest rates and asset values.

        KNOWLEDGE EXPECTED OF: CFP® Professionals

        Highest Knowledge Level: Application


        Knowledge Levels and Associated Verbs


        Awareness
        The state of being aware that something exists / to have familiarity with a particular activity or subject
        Understanding
        To comprehend the general relationship of particulars / to have an expertise with how something works
        Application
        Ability to put information to use / to use knowledge for relevant, practical purposes
        Evaluation
        To judge or conclude by utilizing data / a systematic determination of something’s worth or significance
        Define
        To state exactly the meaning of
        Identify
        To be aware of / to recognize and correctly name / to locate an appropriate resource
        Explain
        To make clear the meaning of / to describe something in more detail or reveal relevant facts or ideas related to it
        Determine
        To ascertain / to come to a decision, such as by investigation or reasoning
        Compare
        To note the similarities and differences between two or more things
        Estimate
        To determine an approximate value for
        Calculate
        To find the value using mathematics
        Convert
        To change from one form or purpose to another
        Evaluate
        To reach a conclusion or make a through careful study
        Interpret
        To give the meaning of / to construe or understand / to translate orally

        Hold cursor over or click on each term to read its definition.

        Leading Economic Indicators

        • Define a leading economic indicator.   

        The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator  

        • Define the yield curve.   

        Coincident Economic Indicators   

        • Define a coincident economic indicator.   

        GDP as a Coincident Indicator  

        • Define Gross Domestic Product (GDP).  
        • Define the types of GDP.
          • Nominal
          • Real
          • GDP per Capita 
        • Identify the factors that may impact GDP growth, such as: 
          • Political change
          • International conflict
          • Technological advancements
          • Medical discoveries or disease
          • Environmental disasters
          • Terrorism
          • Geopolitical factors
          • Domestic government policy (sanctions, protectionism)
          • Foreign government policy
          • Foreign fiscal policy
          • Foreign monetary policy 
        • Define Gross National Product.  

        Lagging Economic Indicators  

        • Define a lagging economic indicator.   

        The Consumer Price Index as a Lagging Indicator  

        • Define types of price changes, such as:
          • Inflation
          • Deflation
          • Disinflation 
          • Hyperinflation 

        Unemployment Rate as a Lagging Indicator   

        • Define the unemployment rate.  

        Exchange Rate as a Lagging Indicator  

        • Define an exchange rate. 
        • Define a currency appreciation.  
        • Define a currency depreciation.  

        Additional Knowledge Expected of CFP Professionals

        Leading Economic Indicators

        • Explain indicators that lead the economic cycle, such as:
          • Stock market
          • Housing starts
          • Commodity prices
          • Manufacturers’ new orders
          • The yield curve 
        • Explain how leading indicators may signal the next economic cycle.

        The Yield Curve as a Leading Indicator

        • Explain the significance of the slope of the yield curve. 
          • Upward-sloping / normal
          • Downward-sloping / inverted
          • Horizontal / flat 
        • Explain how the slope of the yield curve may signal potential changes in the economic cycle.

        Coincident Economic Indicators 

        • Explain indicators that coincide with the economic cycle, such as: 
          • Gross Domestic Product
          • Personal income
          • Retail sales
          • Industrial production
          • Manufacturing and trade sales volume
          • Number of employees of non-agricultural payroll 
        • Explain how coincident indicators may confirm the current phase of the economic cycle.

        GDP as a Coincident Indicator 

        • Explain the components of GDP. 
          • Consumer spending
          • Investment spending
          • Government spending
          • Net exports
        • Compare Gross Domestic Product and Gross National Product. 
        • Explain the potential effects that a change in Gross Domestic Product may have on inflation, interest rates, exchange rates and asset values. 

        Lagging Economic Indicators  

        • Explain indicators that lag the economic cycle, such as:
          • Unemployment rate
          • Duration of unemployment
          • Changes in the Consumer Price Index (Rate of Inflation) 
          • Average prime interest rate charged by banks
          • Level of inventory
          • Ratio of consumer credit to personal income
          • Level of private sector capital investment
          • Exchange rate 
        • Explain how lagging indicators may confirm that an economic cycle has passed.

        The Consumer Price Index as a Lagging Indicator 

        • Explain measurements of inflation, such as:
          • Consumer Price Index
          • Core Consumer Price Index
          • General Level of Prices 
        • Compare measurements of inflation.   
        • Explain the potential effects that inflation and deflation may have on macroeconomic variables (such as Gross Domestic Product, interest rates, exchange rates) and asset values. 

        Unemployment Rate as a Lagging Indicator  

        • Explain the potential effects that a change in Gross Domestic Product, inflation, interest rates and exchange rates may have on unemployment.

        Exchange Rate as a Lagging Indicator 

        • Convert between currencies for a given exchange rate.
        • Explain who benefits and who is disadvantaged from an exchange rate change.
          • Appreciation
          • Depreciation 
        • Explain the expected effects that a change in exchange rates may have on Gross Domestic Product, inflation, interest rates and asset values.